Singularity Missed
SMRTR summary
Ray Kurzweil's predictions about AI capabilities are significantly behind schedule. His chart suggests insect-level intelligence by 2001, but even in 2024, we lack autonomous drones comparable to bees. Military drones still require remote control, indicating we're at least 23 years behind Kurzweil's timeline. This delay suggests human-level AI is unlikely before the late 2040s, assuming rapid progress. The comparison between brain and computer capabilities may be fundamentally flawed.
SMRTR provides this summary for quick context. The original article belongs to Hacker News.
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