AI superforecasters—frontier models with research tools and subagents—now nearly match elite human forecasters, with some claiming massive prediction market profits. Full parity is expected within months, with AI possibly already surpassing humans in finance.

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AI superforecasters — frontier AI models enhanced with research tools and subagents — are now matching top human forecasters, with startups claiming stunning profits like turning $35 into $2 million on prediction markets. Bots slightly trail elite humans overall but may already surpass them in finance, with full parity expected within months.

The AI Superforecasters Are Here

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