My AI Opinions
SMRTR summary
AGI — AI capable of doing 90% of knowledge work — has a 50% chance of arriving by 2034, with full economic diffusion likely taking another decade. Even after AGI arrives, spreading it through society, clearing regulations, and reaching superhuman intelligence each add more uncertainty, though recursive self-improvement could dramatically accelerate everything.
SMRTR provides this summary for quick context. The original article belongs to Hacker News.
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