SMRTR AIMay 4, 2025Forbes

Big Bets On Which Of These Pathways Will Push Today’s AI To Become Prized AGI

SMRTR summary

AI researchers propose seven potential pathways to reach artificial general intelligence (AGI) by 2040. These include linear progression, S-curve advancement, hockey stick growth, erratic fluctuations, sudden breakthroughs, perpetual muddling, and potential dead-ends. The S-curve path is considered most likely, while sudden breakthroughs are deemed least probable. This forecast shapes AI development strategies and investment decisions.

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