AGI, ASI, A*I – Do we have all we need to get there?

Leading AI researchers remain divided on whether current technology can achieve artificial general intelligence through scaling alone or requires breakthrough innovations. While some predict AGI arrival by 2026-2027 based on current capability growth rates, others believe transformers and existing architectures aren't sufficient, with top researchers like Demis Hassabis advocating a balanced approach of 50% scaling and 50% innovation.