SMRTR Science & EngineeringMay 7, 2026Hacker News

How Long Do We Wait for New Inventions?

SMRTR summary

Using AI to analyze 190 major inventions, most technologies appear within decades of becoming technically possible — 90% had a "straightforward" invention date within 50 years of reality. Medical inventions faced the longest delays, while post-1900 inventions arrived faster, with technology bottlenecks — not science — being the primary obstacle.

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