Why OpenAI's solution to AI hallucinations would kill ChatGPT tomorrow
SMRTR summary
OpenAI's research shows AI hallucinations are mathematically inevitable, not just a training flaw. Language models accumulate errors when generating sentences, with less frequent facts more likely to be hallucinated. Current evaluation systems encourage hallucinations by penalizing "I don't know" responses equally to wrong answers. OpenAI suggests implementing confidence thresholds as a solution, but this could lead to systems refusing up to 30% of queries. The computational costs of uncertainty-aware models and misalignment between business incentives and reducing hallucinations further complicate the issue.
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