The AI doomers are not making an argument. They’re selling a worldview.

The AI debate centers on two extreme views: doomers predicting near-certain human extinction from superintelligent AI with misaligned goals, and normalists seeing AI as manageable through regulation. Both perspectives are flawed – doomers exaggerate AI capabilities, while normalists ignore military and geopolitical factors. A more plausible view suggests AI risks stem from cumulative societal degradation, with AI contributing to interconnected vulnerabilities that could trigger cascading failures across various institutions.