I don't think AGI is right around the corner

Artificial intelligence is advancing rapidly, but key limitations persist. Current language models lack continuous learning, hindering real-world usefulness. Solving this could lead to a dramatic leap in AI capabilities within 5-10 years. While reliable computer use agents may be years away, recent models show impressive reasoning abilities. Timelines for transformative AI developments remain uncertain, with estimates ranging from 2-20 years depending on the capability.